02 / PRICING

THE PREMIUM IS A FORMULA.

Not a quote from a desk. Not a number from a model you cannot see. Five factors, five weights, one curve, one term multiplier. Every input is published per asset every block. Recompute it yourself.

THE FIVE FACTORS.

factorinputsweightwhat moves it
f1 custodianattestation cadence, missed attestations 180d, jurisdiction tier, audit age0.30a missed attestation adds ~8 points for 30 days
f2 liquidity30-day on-chain depth at 2% impact vs typical cover notional0.20thin books score high; deep books near zero
f3 peg historydays since last 0.97 breach, breach count 180d, mean recovery time0.20a breach adds points that decay over 90 days
f4 oraclesource count, staleness p95, divergence p95 vs secondaries0.15single-source feeds start at 60 on this factor
f5 underlyinghalt history 2y, listing venue tier, market cap bucket0.15small caps and frequent halts score high
SCORE = 0.30·f1 + 0.20·f2 + 0.20·f3 + 0.15·f4 + 0.15·f5 each fᵢ ∈ [0,100] TSLAx worked example (block 4 811 902) f1 custodian 22 (Custodian A · daily attestation · 0 missed · tier-1 · audit 4 mo) f2 liquidity 48 (depth $1.9M at 2% vs $10k typical → moderate) f3 peg 55 (one breach 71 days ago, recovered in 9h) f4 oracle 40 (3 sources · staleness p95 4 min · divergence p95 0.8%) f5 underlying 45 (2 halts in 2y · tier-1 venue · large cap) SCORE = 0.30·22 + 0.20·48 + 0.20·55 + 0.15·40 + 0.15·45 = 6.6+9.6+11+6+6.75 = 39.95 → 41 (rounded up; scores are always rounded against the buyer)

SCORE TO PREMIUM.

score bandannualised premiummeaning
0 – 200.6%tier-1 custodian, deep liquidity, clean peg, multi-source oracle
21 – 401.4%one soft spot
41 – 603.2%two soft spots or one recent event
61 – 807.5%meaningful plumbing risk; capacity limited
81 – 100not offeredno premium makes this a good trade for the pool
TERM MULTIPLIER 30d × 0.32 · 90d × 1.00 · 180d × 1.85 (longer terms cost more than pro-rata: the score can move against the pool and the cover cannot be repriced) PREMIUM = notional × band% × term multiplier × 90/360

WHY BANDS, NOT A CURVE.

A continuous curve invites tuning; every basis point becomes an argument. Bands are blunt on purpose. A score of 41 pays the same as 60. If you think that is unfair to the 41, buy at 40: the inputs are public and you can see what would move the score.

Scores are rounded against the buyer, always. The pool is the party that cannot walk away from a bad price.

Weights and bands change only by governance vote with a 30-day notice, and never for active covers.